Today, you'll learn how to analyze Passing Yard Props using Outlier's Player Prop Tools.
First, how do QB Passing Props Work?
NFL passing props are specific types of wagers that focus on a quarterback's performance in a game or throughout an entire NFL season, rather than solely on the outcome of a single game. Offering a unique way to engage with NFL games, these bets can be an exciting way to test your football knowledge and potentially earn profits.
Passing props revolve around the performance of a quarterback. Let's look at some of these passing prop bets that may be available for both single-game and futures contexts:
Single-Game Passing Props:
- Passing Yards: How many passing yards will a quarterback accumulate in a game? Bet over or under a specified number.
- Touchdown Passes: Over/under bets on the number of touchdown passes a quarterback will throw.
- Interception Props: Over/under bets on the number of interceptions thrown.
- Completion Percentage: This is the ratio of completed passes to total passing attempts.
- Passing Attempts: Over/under bets on the number of passing attempts a quarterback will make.
Futures Passing Props:
- Total Passing Yards: Bet on whether a quarterback will pass for more or less than a set number of yards over the season.
- Total Touchdown Passes: Over/under bets on the total number of touchdown passes a quarterback will throw during the season.
- Total Interceptions: Predict the total interceptions a quarterback will throw over the entire season.
How do you analyze passing props?
Factors such as a quarterback's historical performance, team strategy, strength of schedule, and player health should be considered when making NFL passing props bets, whether for a single game or for the entire season.
Pay special attention to these passing stats that affect passing props:
- Pass Plays and Completions
- Passer Rating
- On Target Percentage
- Avg Pocket Time
- Air Yards
- Bad Throws
- Longest Completion
- Interception
- Sacks
- Hurries
- Defensive Opponent Passing Yards Allowed
Once you understand all the data that's available to you, executing your NFL Player Prop Strategy becomes an easier undertaking. Check out all of the resources available in Outlier, don't hesitate to reach out with questions.