Points scored props are the most popular type of NBA player props. They’re simple—just bet on whether you think a player will score above or below a specific number of points.

Sportsbooks will assign a number of points to a particular player (i.e., Steph Curry +/- 34.5), and then assign odds to both the Over/Under.

You'll need to understand the matchup, usage, lineups, defensive ranks against position and much more.

Pay special attention to these stats that affect point props:

- Historic Point Trends

- Field Goal %

- 3 Point Splits

- Free Throw Percentage

- Expected minutes

- Fouls

- Defensive Rank (in aggregate and against a position)

- Expected game script (total and spread)

- Load management effects (injuries and rest)

- and more!

Once you understand all the data that's available to you, executing your NBA Player Prop Strategy becomes an easier undertaking. Learn more about NBA Load Management on our blog!