Above the EV+ table, you'll see several preset filters — Pinnacle, MLB Player Props, NFL Player Props, NBA Player Props, Gamelines, and "Outlier" Odds. Each preset represents a tailored configuration of the Positive Expected Value (EV+) filter designed to surface the most efficient opportunities across different betting markets.
The Player Props presets (MLB, NFL, and NBA) focus on identifying value in high-variance, lower-liquidity markets by emphasizing sharp books such as FanDuel, Pinnacle, BookMaker, and other sportsbooks with strong player prop pricing.
The Gamelines preset targets major-market efficiency using high-volume books like Pinnacle and Circa to find value in spreads, totals, and moneylines.
The Pinnacle preset is designed for users who want to benchmark opportunities directly against Pinnacle's market-leading odds. By using Pinnacle as the required devig book, it provides a streamlined approach for identifying positive expected value opportunities based on one of the industry's sharpest sportsbooks.
Lastly, the "Outlier" Odds preset casts a wide net across all markets and sportsbooks, identifying inefficiencies where one book lags behind a strong market consensus.
These presets automatically apply optimized combinations of devig books, weighting methods, variation thresholds, and Kelly multipliers built to account for the liquidity, variance, and sharpness unique to each market type.
By selecting a preset, you’re instantly applying a tested model of sharp betting logic fine-tuned to balance opportunity and risk across different bet types. You can use these as-is for quick analysis or as a foundation for building your own custom EV filters.
Looking for a faster way to find positive expected value (+EV) opportunities? Premium+ and Pro subscribers can also use the EV+ filter in the Prop Finder to instantly display only +EV opportunities. Learn how to use it in our article, Using Filters to Define Your Sports Betting Strategy
Pinnacle MLB Player Props Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
The Pinnacle MLB Player Props EV+ filter settings are designed for users who prefer to benchmark player prop opportunities against Pinnacle's market-leading odds.
By using Pinnacle as the sole required devig book, this template emphasizes one of the sharpest sportsbooks in the industry to identify positive expected value (+EV) opportunities.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: Pinnacle is set to required.
Reason for Selection: Pinnacle is widely regarded as one of the sharpest sportsbooks across all betting markets. Its pricing is heavily influenced by professional betting action, making it an excellent benchmark for identifying potential value in MLB player props.
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 1.
Rationale: Since Pinnacle is the only required devig book, only Pinnacle odds are needed to calculate fair value.
3. Custom Weight
Setting: No custom weights applied.
Justification: Since Pinnacle is the sole required devig book, custom weighting is unnecessary.
4. Devig Method
Setting: No devig method selected.
Explanation: No additional devig method is applied in this preset.
5. Variation
Setting: No variation threshold applied.
Importance: No variation filter is used, allowing all qualifying opportunities to be considered.
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: None.
Reasoning: No Kelly Multiplier is applied in this preset.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: None.
Rationale: No minimum EV threshold is required for this preset.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: None.
Explanation: No Kelly Percentage filter is applied.
9. Vig Percentage
Setting: None.
Reasoning: No Vig Percentage filter is applied.
10. Fair Value
Settings: Minimum odds of -237 and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: This range focuses on commonly bettable player prop markets while filtering out outcomes with extremely high variance.
11. Market Width
Setting: Maximum market width 40.
Reasoning: Player proposition bets have higher variance than mainline markets due to the unpredictability of individual player performance. Limiting market width helps focus on more efficient betting markets.
12. Bet Types
Setting: None.
Justification: No specific bet type filter is applied in this preset.
13. Date
Setting: Next 24 hours.
Rationale: Restricting opportunities to the next 24 hours helps surface markets with the most current pricing and liquidity.
14. Leagues
Setting: None.
Reason: No league-specific filter is applied in this preset.
Conclusion
By leveraging Pinnacle as the primary benchmark for fair value, this preset offers a streamlined approach to identifying positive expected value opportunities using one of the industry's sharpest sportsbooks.
Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.
MLB Player Props Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
The updated MLB Player Props EV+ filter settings are meticulously tailored to navigate the unique landscape of player proposition bets, which inherently carry higher variance.
By strategically selecting and weighting "sharp" sportsbooks, this template aims to optimize the identification of valuable betting opportunities.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: Pinnacle, FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesars, and bet365 are set to optional, requiring only one book to have odds for fair value calculation.
Reason for Selection: Pinnacle is considered a "Sharp" sportsbook across all markets due to its ability to quickly adjust odds based on professional betting action. FanDuel has consistently demonstrated strong pricing for MLB player props, while DraftKings, Caesars, and bet365 provide additional market depth and help strengthen fair value calculations across a wide range of player prop markets.
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 1.
Rationale: Setting to one increases the number of EV opportunities. Users may increase this to 2 if they want to reduce the risk of odds variation across devig books.
3. Custom Weight
Distribution:
FanDuel: 75
Pinnacle: 50
DraftKings: 25
Caesars: 25
bet365: 25
Justification: Each sportsbook is weighted based on its historical accuracy and market strength for MLB player props, with additional emphasis placed on FanDuel and Pinnacle.
4. Devig Method
Selected Method: Average.
Explanation: There is no definitive way to identify where the vigorish (vig) is integrated into the line. Using the Average method accounts for all scenarios, optimizing the fair value calculation.
5. Variation
Setting: 3%.
Importance: A low variation percentage minimizes uncertainty in the market. Smaller discrepancies between devig books indicate more stable betting opportunities.
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: 1/4.
Reasoning: Given the lower liquidity and less information shaping the lines in player prop markets (compared to gamelines), a less aggressive betting strategy is warranted to manage risk.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: 1%.
Rationale: This low threshold allows for the identification of most potential opportunities. By analyzing odds movements, you can discern where sharp money is influencing the lines. A shift in odds (e.g., -110 to -140) indicates that sharp money is likely impacting that side, making it a target for betting even at low EV%.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: 0%.
Explanation: By setting this at zero, no potential value is left unaccounted for, maximizing opportunities.
9. Vig Percentage
Adjustment: No adjustments made here.
Reasoning: The market width and fair value settings filter out markets with high vig%.
10. Fair Value
Settings: Minimum odds of -200 and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: Odds over +200 signify approximately a 33% win probability, which introduces higher variance that can complicate predictions.
11. Market Width
Setting: Maximum market width 40.
Reasoning: Player proposition bets have higher variance than mainline markets due to the unpredictability of individual player performance. These settings help filter out the widest and least efficient markets while preserving quality betting opportunities.
12. Bet Types
Selected Type: Player Props only.
Justification: Setting the filter to Player Props only allows us to focus on sportsbooks that consistently provide accurate MLB player prop odds.
13. Date
Setting: Next 24 hours.
Rationale: Betting on events occurring further into the future introduces additional variance, making it more difficult to accurately anticipate market movement. Restricting the filter to the next 24 hours helps surface opportunities in the most active and efficient markets.
14. Leagues
Selected Leagues: MLB.
Reason: Setting the filter to MLB allows us to focus on sportsbooks that consistently provide the most accurate MLB player prop odds.
Conclusion
By focusing on accurate odds, minimizing variances, and employing strategic methods for assessing value, bettors can enhance their chances of success in the highly competitive sports betting landscape.
Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.
NFL Player Props Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
The updated NFL Player Props EV+ filter settings are meticulously tailored to navigate the unique landscape of player proposition bets, which inherently carry higher variance.
By strategically selecting and weighting "sharp" sportsbooks this template aims to optimize the identification of valuable betting opportunities.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: Pinnacle, BookMaker, FanDuel, and BetOnline are set to optional, requiring only one book to have odds for fair value calculation.
Reason for Selection: FanDuel and BetOnline are considered ”sharp” books for NFL player props due to their reputation for accurate odds. Pinnacle and BookMaker are considered “Sharp” across all markets due to an operational model which allows them to adjust odds based on large wagers from professional bettors, enabling them to capture market movements before traditional sportsbooks.
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 1.
Rationale: Setting to one increases the number of EV opportunities, users may increase to 2 if they want to reduce risk of odds variation across devig books.
3. Custom Weight
Distribution:
Equal weighting for all devig books
Justification: Each book weight is adjusted based upon their level of accuracy for NFL player props
4. Devig Method
Selected Method: Average.
Explanation: There is no definitive way to identify where the vigorish (vig) is integrated into the line. Using an average method accounts for all scenarios, thus optimizing the fair value calculation.
5. Variation
Setting: 3%.
Importance: A low variation percentage minimizes uncertainty in the market. Smaller discrepancies between devig books indicate more stable betting opportunities.
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: 1/4.
Reasoning: Given the lower liquidity and less information shaping the lines in player prop markets (compared to gamelines), a less aggressive betting strategy is warranted to managing risk.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: 1%.
Rationale: This low threshold allows for the identification of most potential opportunities. By analyzing odds movements, you can discern where sharp money is influencing the lines. A shift in odds (e.g., -110 to -140) indicates that sharp money is likely impacting that side, making it a target for betting even at low EV%.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: 0%.
Explanation: By setting this at zero, no potential value is left unaccounted for, maximizing opportunities.
9. Vig Percentage
Adjustment: No adjustments made here.
Reasoning: The market width and fair value settings filter out markets with high vig%
10. Fair Value
Settings: Minimum odds of -200 and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: Odds over +200 signify a 33% win probability, which introduces higher variance that can complicate predictions.
11. Market Width
Setting: Maximum market width 40
Reasoning: Player proposition bets have higher variance than mainlines due to unpredictable individual performance, leading sportsbooks to set wider markets because they are less confident in their lines. Our settings reflect the greater uncertainty of player props while still filtering out markets with the lowest confidence.
12. Bet Types
Selected Type: Player Props only.
Justification: Setting a filter for only for player props allows us to focus on which sportsbooks set the most accurate NFL player prop odds
13. Date
Setting: Next 3 days.
Rationale: Betting on events occurring many days or weeks away introduces more variance, making it harder to predict odds movements accurately. The date setting is expanded to 3 days for the NFL (compared to 24 hrs for other league filters) due to NFL games only occurring a few days a week and higher betting volume allowing for greater odds accuracy a few days from the event date.
14. Leagues
Selected Leagues: NFL
Reason: Setting a filter for only the NFL allows us to focus on which sportsbooks set the most accurate NFL player prop odds
Conclusion
By focusing on accurate odds, minimizing variances, and employing strategic methods for assessing value, bettors can enhance their chances of success in the highly competitive sports betting landscape.
Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.
NBA Player Props Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
The updated NBA Player Props Template filter settings are meticulously tailored to navigate the unique landscape of player proposition bets, which inherently carry higher variance.
By strategically selecting and weighting "sharp" sportsbooks this template aims to optimize the identification of valuable betting opportunities.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: FanDuel is set to required. Pinnacle, BookMaker, DraftKings and Caesars are set to optional
Reason for Selection: FanDuel is considered the “Sharpest” book for NBA player props due to their reputation for accurate odds. Pinnacle and BookMaker are considered “Sharp” across all markets due to an operational model which allows them to adjust odds based on large wagers from professional bettors, enabling them to capture market movements before traditional sportsbooks. DraftKings and Caesars also have shown relatively high NBA player props odds accuracy in recent seasons, albeit less so than FanDuel. If you primarily bet on FanDuel, consider changing FanDuel from a required to an optional book, though be wary of their odds accuracy for NBA player props.
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 1.
Rationale: FanDuel alone is sufficient for devigging since it has displayed consistent odds accuracy over multiple seasons and has broad coverage of NBA player prop markets. Optional devig books will be considered when odds are available for a given market.
3. Custom Weight
Distribution:
FanDuel at 100
Pinnacle, BookMaker, DraftKings, Caesars at 25
Justification: Each book weight is adjusted based upon their level of accuracy for NBA player props
4. Devig Method
Selected Method: Average.
Explanation: There is no definitive way to identify where the vigorish (vig) is integrated into the line. Using an average method accounts for all scenarios, thus optimizing the fair value calculation.
5. Variation
Setting: 3%.
Importance: A low variation percentage minimizes uncertainty in the market. Smaller discrepancies between devig books indicate more stable betting opportunities.
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: 1/4.
Reasoning: Given the lower liquidity and less information shaping the lines in player prop markets (compared to gamelines), a less aggressive betting strategy is warranted to managing risk.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: 1%.
Rationale: This low threshold allows for the identification of most potential opportunities. By analyzing odds movements, you can discern where sharp money is influencing the lines. A shift in odds (e.g., -110 to -140) indicates that sharp money is likely impacting that side, making it a target for betting even at low EV%.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: 0%.
Explanation: By setting this at zero, no potential value is left unaccounted for, maximizing opportunities.
9. Vig Percentage
Adjustment: No adjustments made here.
Reasoning: The market width and fair value settings filter out markets with high vig%
10. Fair Value
Settings: Minimum odds of -200 and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: Odds over +200 signify a 33% win probability, which introduces higher variance that can complicate predictions.
11. Market Width
Setting: Maximum market width 40
Reasoning: Player proposition bets have higher variance than mainlines due to unpredictable individual performance, leading sportsbooks to set wider markets because they are less confident in their lines. Our settings reflect the greater uncertainty of player props while still filtering out markets with the lowest confidence.
12. Bet Types
Selected Type: Player Props only.
Justification: Setting a filter for only for player props allows us to focus on which sportsbooks set the most accurate NBA player prop odds
13. Date
Setting: 24 hours away.
Rationale: Betting on events occurring days away introduces more variance, making it harder to predict odds movements accurately.
14. Leagues
Selected Leagues: NBA
Reason: Setting a filter for only the NBA allows us to focus on which sportsbooks set the most accurate NBA player prop odds
Conclusion
By focusing on accurate odds, minimizing variances, and employing strategic methods for assessing value, bettors can enhance their chances of success in the highly competitive sports betting landscape.
Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.
Sharp Gamelines Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
This preset EV+ filter is designed to give you a starting point for finding Positive Expected Value in moneyline, spread, and totals markets.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: Pinnacle, Circa, and BookMaker are set to optional, requiring only one book to have odds for fair value calculation.
Reason for Selection: These three books are considered "Sharp" due to their reputation for accurate odds. Their operational model allows them to adjust odds based on large wagers from professional bettors, enabling them to capture market movements before traditional sportsbooks.
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 1.
Rationale: Circa and BookMaker offer limited alternative markets. Setting the minimum to one prevents missing valuable odds from these books. While using more devig books increases accuracy, Pinnacle alone often provides highly reliable numbers.
3. Uniform Weight
Distribution: All books are equally weighted at 50/50/50.
Justification: Each selected book has a comparable level of accuracy, ensuring a balanced assessment of fair value.
4. Devig Method
Selected Method: Average.
Explanation: There is no definitive way to identify where the vigorish (vig) is integrated into the line. Using an average method accounts for all scenarios, thus optimizing the fair value calculation.
5. Variation
Setting: 3%.
Importance: A low variation percentage minimizes uncertainty in the market. Smaller discrepancies between devig books indicate more stable betting opportunities.
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: 1/2.
Reasoning: Given the larger liquidity and better information shaping the lines in main markets, a more aggressive betting strategy is warranted, allowing for quicker bankroll scaling while managing risk.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: 1%.
Rationale: This low threshold allows for the identification of nearly every potential opportunity. By analyzing odds movements, you can discern where sharp money is influencing the lines. A shift in odds (e.g., -110 to -140) indicates that sharp money is likely impacting that side, making it a target for betting even at low EV%.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: 0%.
Explanation: By setting this at zero, no potential value is left unaccounted for, maximizing opportunities.
9. Vig Percentage
Setting: 8%.
Justification: Most main markets have a vig lower than 8%. This setting ensures that value is preserved in the betting process.
10. Fair Value
Settings: No minimum odds and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: Odds over +200 signify a 33% win probability, which introduces higher variance that can complicate predictions.
11. Market Width
Adjustment: No adjustments made here.
Reasoning: Most main markets have a market width lower than 30. This setting ensures that value is preserved in the betting process.
12. Bet Types
Selected Type: Game lines only.
Justification: Circa, BookMaker, and Pinnacle are leaders in main market betting, ensuring high liquidity and trustworthy market movements.
13. Date
Setting: 24 hours away.
Rationale: Betting on events occurring days away introduces more variance, making it harder to predict odds movements accurately.
14. Leagues
Selected Leagues: MLB, NHL, NFL, NBA.
Reason: These leagues represent the largest U.S. markets. College sports and WNBA are excluded due to their volatility and significantly lower liquidity compared to the major leagues.
The Gameline Template filter settings are meticulously designed to optimize betting opportunities by leveraging the strengths of sharp sportsbooks.
By focusing on accurate odds, minimizing variances, and employing strategic methods for assessing value, bettors can enhance their chances of success in the highly competitive sports betting landscape.
Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.
“Outlier” Odds Template: Filter Settings Breakdown
The updated All Markets Template filter settings are meticulously designed to optimize betting opportunities by casting a wide net across all available sportsbooks and bet types, aiming to find value where a single book lags behind a strong market consensus.
1. Devig Books
Selected Books: All books are set to optional
Reason for Selection: Including all sportsbooks in our devig process allows us to capitalize on the wide breadth of odds data we have from a variety of sportsbooks, DFS sites, offshore books, and other betting platforms
2. Minimum Number of Books Required
Setting: Minimum set to 3.
Rationale: This filter incorporates both traditional “Sharp” books as well as recreational sportsbook, so using more devig books increases accuracy
3. Uniform Weight
Distribution: All books are equally weighted at 50/50/50.
Justification: Book sharpness varies by league and bet type, and this filter attempts to find opportunities across all sports betting markets. Thus, we are weighing all books equally
4. Devig Method
Selected Method: Average.
Explanation: There is no definitive way to identify where the vigorish (vig) is integrated into the line. Using an average method accounts for all scenarios, thus optimizing the fair value calculation.
5. Variation
Setting: 3%.
Importance: A low variation percentage minimizes uncertainty in the market. Smaller discrepancies between devig books indicate more stable betting opportunities. We are mainly looking for EV opportunities where there is a strong market consensus and one soft book who is lagging behind the odds set by the rest of the bookmakers
6. Kelly Multiplier
Setting: 1/4.
Reasoning: Given the lower liquidity and less information shaping the lines in prop markets (which are included in our filter), a less aggressive betting strategy is warranted to managing risk.
7. Expected Value Percentage (EV%)
Setting: 2%.
Rationale: This low threshold allows for the identification of most potential opportunities. By analyzing odds movements, you can discern where sharp money is influencing the lines. A shift in odds (e.g., -110 to -140) indicates that sharp money is likely impacting that side, making it a target for betting even at low EV%.
8. Kelly Percentage
Setting: 0%.
Explanation: By setting this at zero, no potential value is left unaccounted for, maximizing opportunities.
9. Vig Percentage
Adjustment: No adjustments made here.
Reasoning: The market width and fair value settings filter out markets with high vig%
10. Fair Value
Settings: No minimum odds and a maximum of +200.
Rationale: Odds over +200 signify a 33% win probability, which introduces higher variance that can complicate predictions.
11. Market Width
Setting: Maximum market width 40
Reasoning: Prop bets have higher variance than mainlines due to unpredictable performances and lower betting volume, leading sportsbooks to set wider markets because they are less confident in their lines. Our settings reflect the greater uncertainty of props while still filtering out markets with the lowest confidence.
12. Bet Types
Selected Type: All markets
Justification: This allows us to identify mispriced odds across all sports betting markets that Outlier covers
13. Date
Setting: 24 hours away.
Rationale: Betting on events occurring days away introduces more variance, making it harder to predict odds movements accurately.
14. Leagues
Selected Leagues: All leagues
Reason: This allows us to identify mispriced odds across all sports betting markets that Outlier covers
Conclusion
By focusing on accurate odds, minimizing variances, and employing strategic methods for assessing value, bettors can enhance their chances of success in the highly competitive sports betting landscape. Always remember to analyze odds movement closely to stay aligned with professional betting trends.