It's been a long summer but we're back ready to bring you the best NBA player prop and betting experience in the market!
This guide is simply meant to be a reference point for frequently asked questions, video learning resources, and support. We will continue to add to it as the season progresses here and in other individual articles.
NBA Betting Guide for Player Props
Watch this quick walkthrough guide to get started!
Positive EV Betting Guide for NBA
If you have Outlier Pro or Premium+ this one is for you! Here is a link to the full NBA EV+ Guide.
Then dive deeper into each of the following resources.
Outlier's YouTube Channel has a full NBA playlist. These short guides show you how to use both the web app and iOS app to research your picks.
Tip: Use the Outlier web app (favored among power users) 🖥️
1) You can login here https://app.outlier.bet/login (do not click the AppStore button)
2) Make sure to use the same login method you signed up with (email, phone, AppleID, etc).
Written Guides - Simply search here in the Support Center for "NBA" and you'll find guides like these
Understanding Opposition Rank and Positional Matchups https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8575657-understanding-opposition-rank-in-outlier
Researching PRA Lines (Points, Rebounds, & Assists) https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8692153-how-to-bet-on-point-rebounds-assists-pra-props-nba-player-props
How to Read Odds Movement https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/11776979-how-to-track-line-movement
NBA Advanced Stats: Understanding Potential Assists & Rebound Chances https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/9005352-potential-assists-rebound-chances-nba-advanced-data
Betting on Points Props: https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8617706-how-to-bet-on-player-point-props-nba-player-prop-data
Using Gamescript Filters for Player Minutes: https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/9504550-how-to-filter-for-player-usage-and-expected-minutes
Betting on Assist Props: https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8594279-how-to-analyze-player-assists-props-nba-player-prop-research-series
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Game Script Filters?
The filter option is the most effective way to start researching smarter. We call it the Game Script filter because you can set up Outlier to show you only stats that you think will happen!
Want to see how many rebounds Jamal Murray gets when Jokic is out, during away games, on 2 days rest, and expecting to play less minutes since they are a favorite? This is how you do it: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/-bjql6qKm5g
How do I set up notifications and filters?
Set up and save customized filters for any combination of Props, Insights, or EV bets, then schedule alerts for when a pick matches your filter! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_T_zKv1enM
How do I use Opposition Rank?
In short, Green always means favorable to the bet you are analyzing in Outlier. The opponent ranking coincides with the bet category you are looking at, so it will change depending on whether you are looking at an Over or an Under. Read more https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8575657-understanding-opposition-rank-in-outlier
How do I use the Outlier web app?
Power users love diving deep into research from their laptops and tablets. https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/9930735-using-the-outlier-web-app
Why are the PrizePicks and Underdog odds set to -119 and -120?
You may not be used to seeing betting odds associated with DFS plays. We calculated the odds based on 5 man flex plays and their implied probability. Learn more about the calculations here:
How do I use Outlier Pro?
Now is a great time of year to use +EV betting. There is so much more volume with NBA (and NCAAM) meaning a ton of mathematically profitable opportunities.
Here is a quick start guide for +EV Tools: https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8269410-positive-ev-101-what-is-expected-value
Arbitrage Guide: https://help.outlier.bet/en/articles/8454144-arbitrage-101-what-is-sports-betting-arbitrage
Live Education Sessions
There is at least 1 live stream going on every single day where you can learn how to use Outlier, ask questions, and get strategy tips from sharp bettors.
Follow us on Twitch and YouTube to get notifications:
Final Tip: Join the Outlier Discord!
There are thousands of users in there sharing tips and analysis each day https://discord.gg/outlierdotbet